MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:19:12| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PEC Zwolle
Eredivisie | Gameweek 9
Oct 20, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle
1 - 2
NAC Breda

de Rooij (81')
El Azzouzi (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mar Omarsson (54', 78')
Kemper (75'), Bielica (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heerenveen 1-1 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, October 6 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 Nijmegen
Saturday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-0 NAC Breda

After a very poor start to the season, Zwolle seemed to have found a good rhythm leading up to the international break and will see this as a fixture they should win given their six-match unbeaten record against this opponent. NAC have put on a few solid performances in their first season back in the top flight, but their away record is still among the worst in the division, and we feel they will struggle to take anything away from this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 51.44%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 25.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawNAC Breda
51.44% (0.568 0.57) 23.26% (-0.111 -0.11) 25.29% (-0.463 -0.46)
Both teams to score 57.78% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)42.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.080999999999996 0.08)65.39% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.238 0.24)16.77% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.424 0.42)46.72% (-0.43 -0.43)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.321 -0.32)30.57% (0.317 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)66.81% (0.37700000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 51.44%
    NAC Breda 25.29%
    Draw 23.26%
PEC ZwolleDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.16% (0.038 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.17% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.066 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.016 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.54% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 25.29%

How you voted: PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda

PEC Zwolle
71.4%
Draw
0.0%
NAC Breda
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 29
PEC Zwolle
2-0
NAC Breda
Huiberts (46'), Thy (84')
Nov 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 16
NAC Breda
0-2
PEC Zwolle
Taha (32', 45')
May 15, 2019 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
NAC Breda
0-0
PEC Zwolle
te Vrede (51')
Paal (90')
Dec 15, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
PEC Zwolle
0-0
NAC Breda
van Polen (21'), Ehizibue (56')
Verschueren (44'), te Vrede (47')
Jan 20, 2018 6.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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