Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Rat Verlegh Stadion
We said: NAC Breda 1-1 NEC
While NAC have been poor this season, they have managed to produce good performances at home and this arguably represents their easiest fixture in Breda following matches against Ajax, Utrecht and Fortuna Sittard.
However, NEC are coming off an impressive showing against Dutch giants Feyenoord last week, and we feel that they will be able to get something from this one as well.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 38.76% . A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 36.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.5% .
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (5.85%) . The likeliest NAC Breda win was 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood .
Result NAC Breda Draw NEC 36.77% ( -1.42) 24.47% ( 0.02) 38.76% ( 1.4)
Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.11)
56.8% ( -0.13) 43.2% ( 0.12)
34.4% ( -0.13) 65.6% ( 0.12)
76.73% ( -0.79) 23.27% ( 0.79)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.8% ( -1.17) 57.2% ( 1.17)
77.75% ( 0.66) 22.25% ( -0.66)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 44.32% ( 0.98) 55.68% ( -0.98)
NAC Breda 36.77%
NEC 38.76%
Draw 24.47%
NAC Breda Draw NEC 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.19% Total : 36.77% 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.47% 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.76%
How you voted: NAC Breda vs Nijmegen
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rhs 2.0
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