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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 3-1 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
64.4% ( -0) | 18.59% | 17% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 61.5% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.76% ( 0) | 32.23% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.16% ( 0) | 53.84% ( -0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.5% | 9.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.13% ( 0) | 31.87% ( -0) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( 0) | 32.04% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.49% ( 0) | 68.5% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.53% 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.43% 3-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.89% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 1.83% 5-2 @ 1.19% 4-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.87% Total : 64.4% | 1-1 @ 8.16% 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 0.3% Total : 18.59% | 1-2 @ 4.64% 0-1 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.97% 1-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 3.09% Total : 17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |