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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
24.94% ( -0.23) | 22.15% ( -0) | 52.9% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 61.29% ( -0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.82% ( -0.21) | 38.18% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.54% ( -0.23) | 60.45% ( 0.23) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -0.29) | 28.27% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.01% ( -0.37) | 63.99% ( 0.37) |
FC Twente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% | 14.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% ( -0) | 42.59% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | FC Twente |
2-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 24.94% | 1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.15% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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