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FC Twente logo
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Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 23
Feb 26, 2023 at 3.45pm UK
Philips Stadium
FC Twente logo

PSV
3 - 1
FC Twente

Silva (9'), de Jong (57'), Simons (74')
Sangare (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Misidjan (47')
Zerrouki (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 2-0 Sevilla
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: PSV Eindhoven 2-1 FC Twente

With the amount of attacking firepower on display, we are anticipating an open and end-to-end game. That said, we can also see PSV just about getting the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.04%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 13%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 3-0 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
70.04% (1.042 1.04) 16.95% (-0.392 -0.39) 13% (-0.656 -0.66)
Both teams to score 57.09% (-0.482 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.94% (0.30099999999999 0.3)33.05% (-0.305 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.21% (0.346 0.35)54.79% (-0.349 -0.35)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.54% (0.30300000000001 0.3)8.45% (-0.307 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.66% (0.749 0.75)29.33% (-0.754 -0.75)
FC Twente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.36% (-0.735 -0.73)37.63% (0.733 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.59% (-0.724 -0.72)74.41% (0.72 0.72)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 70.05%
    FC Twente 13%
    Draw 16.95%
PSV EindhovenDrawFC Twente
2-0 @ 9.71% (0.126 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 8% (0.218 0.22)
1-0 @ 7.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.81% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.204 0.2)
4-1 @ 4.83% (0.106 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.82% (-0.047 -0.05)
5-0 @ 2.44% (0.135 0.14)
5-1 @ 2.39% (0.086 0.09)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-2 @ 1.17% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.01% (0.069 0.07)
6-1 @ 0.98% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 70.05%
1-1 @ 7.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.125 -0.13)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 16.95%
1-2 @ 3.75% (-0.158 -0.16)
0-1 @ 3.11% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.52% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 13%

How you voted: PSV vs FC Twente

PSV Eindhoven
90.4%
Draw
1.9%
FC Twente
7.7%
52
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 5.45pm
FC Twente
2-1
PSV
Cerny (17', 24')
Propper (27')
Til (55')
Max (74'), Sangare (76')
Apr 2, 2022 5.45pm
FC Twente
3-3
PSV
Van Wolfswinkel (13', 19'), Vlap (25')
Sadilek (42'), van Wolfswinkel (59'), Zerrouki (78')
Veerman (35'), Gakpo (53'), Boscagli (90+3')
Ramalho (59'), Sangare (71'), Vinicius (80')
Oct 30, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
5-2
FC Twente
Vertessen (14', 54'), Zahavi (27'), Vinicius (58', 63')
Vlap (13'), Zerrouki (44')
Vlap (42')
Feb 6, 2021 3.30pm
PSV
3-0
FC Twente
Malen (30', 53'), Zahavi (36')

Ilic (75')
Nov 22, 2020 3.45pm
FC Twente
1-1
PSV
Danilo (63' pen.)
Pleguezuelo (68')
Malen (8')
Madueke (57'), Gakpo (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Broncos
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Bills
9.30pm
Packers
@
Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV18151261154646
2Ajax18133239172242
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1812333629739
4Feyenoord18105341231835
5FC Twente18104438231534
6AZ AlkmaarAZ18103533191433
7Go Ahead Eagles188463327628
8Fortuna SittardSittard187472528-325
9Heerenveen187382133-1224
10Willem II186482325-222
11NAC BredaNAC Breda1871102131-1022
12NECNijmegen1862102424020
13PEC Zwolle184591627-1117
14Groningen174581426-1217
15Heracles173681934-1515
16Sparta RotterdamSparta182791527-1213
17Almere CityAlmere City1824121037-2710
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1814131943-247


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