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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
60.44% | 21.05% | 18.51% |
Both teams to score 55.55% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.63% | 41.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.23% | 63.77% |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.73% | 13.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.93% | 40.07% |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.05% | 35.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% | 72.73% |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.95% 2-0 @ 9.73% 1-0 @ 9.64% 3-1 @ 6.7% 3-0 @ 6.55% 3-2 @ 3.43% 4-1 @ 3.38% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.37% 5-0 @ 1.34% Other @ 3.31% Total : 60.44% | 1-1 @ 9.86% 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 4.77% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.05% | 1-2 @ 5.04% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.74% 1-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 14 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 50 | 11 | 39 | 39 |
2 | Ajax | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 12 | 17 | 32 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 31 |
4 | Feyenoord | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 14 | 18 | 29 |
5 | FC Twente | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 28 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 23 |
7 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 19 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 18 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 16 |
11 | Willem II | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 15 |
13 | Groningen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 15 |
14 | Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 15 |
15 | Heracles | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 11 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 31 | -25 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |