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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 80.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 6.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
80.27% ( 1.58) | 12.75% ( -0.57) | 6.98% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( -3.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.27% ( -1.29) | 31.73% ( 1.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.75% ( -1.52) | 53.24% ( 1.52) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.89% ( 0.03) | 6.1% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
76.83% ( 0.08) | 23.17% ( -0.08) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.46% ( -3.54) | 48.53% ( 3.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.38% ( -2.69) | 83.62% ( 2.69) |
Score Analysis |
PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.83) 3-0 @ 10.79% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.58) 3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.56) 4-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.32) 5-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.37) 4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.26) 6-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.15) 6-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 3.87% Total : 80.26% | 1-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.4) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.77% Total : 12.75% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.29) 0-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 6.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 9 | 28 | 30 |
2 | Ajax | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 25 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Feyenoord | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
5 | FC Twente | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 21 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
10 | NECNijmegen | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 13 |
11 | Willem II | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
12 | Heracles | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
13 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
14 | Heerenveen | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 11 |
15 | Groningen | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 9 |
16 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 23 | -18 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 28 | -18 | 4 |
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