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Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 8, 2023 at 7pm UK
Philips Stadium
Excelsior

PSV
4 - 0
Excelsior

de Jong (12'), Simons (78'), Silva (82'), Gutierrez (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagre (56'), Horemans (66'), Ayoub (69'), Baas (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and SBV Excelsior, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Excelsior 0-0 FC Twente
Saturday, April 1 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 SBV Excelsior

PSV are averaging over three goals per game on home turf this term, and we can see them putting on another superb attacking display en route to a routine victory come the sound of the final whistle in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 89.66%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 3.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.25%), while for a SBV Excelsior win it was 1-2 (1.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
89.66% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15) 7.14% (0.075 0.08) 3.2% (0.072 0.07)
Both teams to score 46.67% (0.437 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.16% (0.062000000000012 0.06)19.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.14% (0.088999999999999 0.09)37.85% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
97.37% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)2.62% (0.008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
87.81% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)12.18% (0.035 0.04)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.93% (0.452 0.45)52.06% (-0.453 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.95% (0.293 0.29)86.05% (-0.294 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 89.65%
    SBV Excelsior 3.2%
    Draw 7.14%
PSV EindhovenDrawSBV Excelsior
3-0 @ 10.98% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-0 @ 10% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.064 -0.06)
5-0 @ 7.28% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 6.53% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.91% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.98% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 4.75% (0.016 0.02)
6-0 @ 4.42% (-0.049 -0.05)
6-1 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.043 0.04)
7-0 @ 2.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.037 0.04)
5-2 @ 1.55% (0.026 0.03)
7-1 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
8-0 @ 1.04% (-0.014 -0.01)
6-2 @ 0.94% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 89.65%
1-1 @ 3.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 1.93% (0.038 0.04)
0-0 @ 1.37% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 7.14%
1-2 @ 1.06% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 3.2%

How you voted: PSV vs Excelsior

PSV Eindhoven
81.8%
Draw
18.2%
SBV Excelsior
0.0%
22
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-6
PSV
Horemans (74')
Veerman (2'), Sangare (29', 45'), Simons (55', 84'), Gakpo (59')
Til (68')
Mar 2, 2019 6.45pm
Dec 7, 2018 7.45pm
PSV
6-0
Excelsior
De Jong (17', 92'), Van der Meer (34' og.), Mattheij (52' og.), Malen (80'), Bergwijn (89')
Sainsbury (60')

Bruins (55'), van der Meer (64'), El Hamdaoui (67')
Feb 7, 2018 5.30pm
PSV
1-0
Excelsior
Lozano (17')
Brenet (69'), Bergwijn (76')

Fortes (42'), Mattheij (69'), Vermeulen (82')
Nov 26, 2017 1.30pm
Excelsior
1-2
PSV
Koolwijk (52')
Mattheij (62'), Fortes (86')
Mattheij (13' og.), Lozano (41')
Isimat-Mirin (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1312014593636
2Feyenoord1384131131828
3FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
4Ajax1182125111426
5FC Twente1374226121425
6Go Ahead Eagles135351820-218
7AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
8Fortuna SittardSittard135261418-417
9NECNijmegen125161910916
10Willem II124351312115
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen134271326-1314
13Heracles133461425-1113
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Groningen133371224-1212
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City13139630-246
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1312101233-215


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