MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 23:18:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 30
Apr 13, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Waalwijk logo

AZ
3 - 2
RKC Waalwijk

Sugawara (66'), Sadiq (75'), Pavlidis (77')
Goes (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Min (3', 42')
Min (67'), Lokesa (74'), Vaessen (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSV 5-1 AZ
Saturday, April 6 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 3-2 RKC Waalwijk
Sunday, April 7 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 RKC Waalwijk

AZ are currently undergoing a rough patch but will still fancy their chances of securing maximum points from this one. We fully expect the hosts to get the job done with relative ease come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 78.07%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.35%), while for a RKC Waalwijk win it was 1-2 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
78.07% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07) 13.68% (0.035 0.04) 8.24% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.59% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)31.41% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.13% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)52.87% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.55% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)6.45% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.87% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)24.13% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
RKC Waalwijk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.87% (0.022000000000006 0.02)45.13% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.96% (0.016000000000002 0.02)81.03% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 78.07%
    RKC Waalwijk 8.24%
    Draw 13.68%
AZ AlkmaarDrawRKC Waalwijk
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.99% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.98% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.95% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 6.85% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-1 @ 5.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 1.72% (-0.01 -0.01)
6-1 @ 1.37% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 78.07%
1-1 @ 6.35% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.46% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 13.68%
1-2 @ 2.53% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 8.24%

How you voted: AZ vs RKC Waalwijk

AZ Alkmaar
82.1%
Draw
10.7%
RKC Waalwijk
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 2
RKC Waalwijk
1-3
AZ
Kramer (41' pen.)
Kramer (58'), Margaret (76')
Pavlidis (54', 79'), De Wit (59')
Poku (63')
Apr 23, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
3-0
RKC Waalwijk
Mijnans (8'), Lahdo (50'), Van Brederode (63')
Nov 6, 2022 3.45pm
Gameweek 13
RKC Waalwijk
3-1
AZ
Bel Hassani (32'), Bakkali (87', 90+1')
May 15, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
AZ
1-3
RKC Waalwijk
De Wit (45+1')
Stokkers (18'), Gaari (64'), Kuijpers (79')
Feb 9, 2022 6pm
Quarter-Finals
RKC Waalwijk
0-4
AZ

Nieuwpoort (60')
De Wit (8'), Pavlidis (23'), Karlsson (33' pen.), Aboukhlal (71')
Reijnders (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV20161365204549
2Ajax19143241172445
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2012533730741
4Feyenoord19106342241836
5FC Twente19104539251434
6AZ AlkmaarAZ20104634211334
7Go Ahead Eagles199463528731
8Fortuna SittardSittard207492736-925
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2081112535-1025
10Heerenveen2073102136-1524
11NECNijmegen1972102825323
12Willem II206592428-423
13PEC Zwolle206592329-623
14Groningen205691729-1221
15Heracles204882336-1320
16Sparta RotterdamSparta203891829-1117
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2025132244-2211
18Almere CityAlmere City1924131039-2910


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