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Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
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PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Philips Stadion
Sparta Rotterdam logo

PSV
4 - 2
Sparta

Bakari (19'), Bakayoko (26'), Boscagli (67'), Teze (78')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Metinho (8'), Boscagli (29' og.)
Lauritsen (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-8 PSV
Thursday, April 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Sparta 1-0 Volendam
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: PSV Eindhoven 3-0 Sparta Rotterdam

 PSV have been nearly flawless at Philips Stadion this season, and we cannot formulate a convincing argument of why that would change on Sunday afternoon versus Sparta Rotterdam. Boeren know that a point will be enough to clinch their first Eredivisie crown in six years, but we reckon that Bosz's men will go the extra mile to secure a comfortable win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 78.96%. A draw had a probability of 12.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 8.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.58%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
78.96% (-0.283 -0.28) 12.73% (0.27 0.27) 8.32% (0.016 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.37% (-1.333 -1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.22% (-1.483 -1.48)25.78% (1.486 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.07% (-1.938 -1.94)45.93% (1.941 1.94)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.86% (-0.333 -0.33)5.14% (0.3361 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.6% (-1.006 -1.01)20.4% (1.008 1.01)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.42% (-1.192 -1.19)40.58% (1.196 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-1.093 -1.09)77.17% (1.095 1.1)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 78.96%
    Sparta Rotterdam 8.32%
    Draw 12.73%
PSV EindhovenDrawSparta Rotterdam
2-0 @ 9.19% (0.47 0.47)
3-0 @ 9.09% (0.268 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.29% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 8.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 6.74% (0.05 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.19% (0.447 0.45)
4-1 @ 6.08% (-0.155 -0.16)
5-0 @ 4% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.133 -0.13)
5-1 @ 3.61% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-2 @ 2.74% (-0.164 -0.16)
6-0 @ 1.98% (-0.076 -0.08)
6-1 @ 1.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
5-2 @ 1.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 5.73%
Total : 78.96%
1-1 @ 5.58% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.09% (0.194 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 12.73%
1-2 @ 2.52% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.88% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 8.32%

How you voted: PSV vs Sparta

PSV Eindhoven
92.0%
Draw
4.0%
Sparta Rotterdam
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 3.45pm
Gameweek 8
Sparta
0-4
PSV

de Guzman (45+1'), Brym (45+1'), Neghli (54')
Tillman (51'), Bakayoko (59'), Vertessen (80'), De Jong (88')
Dest (90')
> Preview
May 6, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 31
Sparta
0-1
PSV
El Ghazi (74')
> Preview
Jan 7, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 15
PSV
0-0
Sparta
> Preview
Feb 27, 2022 1.30pm
Gameweek 22
Sparta
1-2
PSV
Thy (32')
de Kamps (39'), van Crooij (62'), Engels (63'), Beugelsdijk (90+5'), Meijers (90+6')
Verschueren (54')
Junior (59'), Doan (67')
Max (20'), Teze (38'), Sangare (38')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 8
PSV
2-1
Sparta
Sangare (82'), Thomas (86')
Sangare (45+1')
Thy (90')
Abels (65'), Okoye (79')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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