MX23RW : Monday, February 3 14:01:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 16
Jan 15, 2023 at 11.15am UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
NEC

Vitesse
0 - 0
Nijmegen


Wittek (23')
FT

Schone (65'), Proper (81'), Verdonk (87'), Elkarouani (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-1 Vitesse
Saturday, January 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 1-1 Ajax
Sunday, January 8 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-1 NEC

NEC have not been drawing quite as many games recently, but Vitesse have shared the spoils in their last three, proving that they can compete with the better sides in the league. As such, we expect Sunday's game to finish all square given the home side's recent record, and the fact that they do not often lose against their opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VitesseDrawNEC
50.26% (-0.415 -0.41) 24.23% (0.158 0.16) 25.51% (0.258 0.26)
Both teams to score 54.74% (-0.259 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (-0.463 -0.46)47.1% (0.464 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (-0.433 -0.43)69.34% (0.434 0.43)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.23% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)18.77% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.83% (-0.573 -0.57)50.17% (0.574 0.57)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.4% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)32.6% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.86% (-0.041 -0.04)69.14% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 50.25%
    NEC 25.51%
    Draw 24.23%
VitesseDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.78% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 50.25%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.12% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.126 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.042 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.84% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.44% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.51%

How you voted: Vitesse vs Nijmegen

Vitesse
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
NEC
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 11.15am
Vitesse
4-1
Nijmegen
Doekhi (54'), Oroz (56', 80'), Buitink (90+4')
Oroz (81'), Buitink (90+5')
Duelund (49')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30pm
Nijmegen
0-1
Vitesse

Marquez (39'), van Rooij (44'), Barreto (53')
Frederiksen (16')
Openda (58'), Tronstad (59'), Wittek (66'), Bazoer (68')
Apr 2, 2017 11.30am
Vitesse
2-1
Nijmegen
Van Wolfswinkel (51', 84' pen.)
Diks (69'), Kruiswijk (82'), Buttner (90')
Kadioglu (66')
Breinburg (28'), Golla (76')
Oct 23, 2016 11.30am
Nijmegen
1-1
Vitesse
Dumic (88')
Bikel (22'), Golla (42'), Dumic (63')
Foor (38')
van Wolfswinkel (43'), Kashia (63'), Tighadouini (89')
Apr 3, 2016 11.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV21162368234550
2Ajax20153243182548
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2112634033742
4AZ AlkmaarAZ21114636211537
5Feyenoord20106443261736
6FC Twente20105541271435
7Go Ahead Eagles209563730732
8Fortuna SittardSittard217592938-926
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2182112636-1026
10Heerenveen2174102338-1525
11NECNijmegen2073103128324
12PEC Zwolle216692632-624
13Willem II2165102430-623
14Heracles214982437-1321
15Groningen2156101730-1321
16Sparta RotterdamSparta214891929-1020
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2135132645-1914
18Almere CityAlmere City2024141143-3210


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