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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Excelsior
Eredivisie | Gameweek 8
Oct 2, 2022 at 1.30pm UK
 
FC Utrecht

Excelsior
0 - 1
Utrecht


Horemans (19'), El Yaakoubi (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between SBV Excelsior and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 1-0 SBV Excelsior
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Utrecht 0-0 NEC
Friday, September 16 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: SBV Excelsior 1-2 FC Utrecht

Given their record in this fixture as well as squad quality, Utrecht are huge favourites to secure the points at the end of the 90 minutes here, and we tip them to just about get the job done. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.

Result
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Utrecht
27.67% (0.224 0.22) 23.19% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 49.13% (-0.318 -0.32)
Both teams to score 60.26% (-0.125 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (-0.25 -0.25)40.7% (0.245 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.91% (-0.256 -0.26)63.09% (0.251 0.25)
SBV Excelsior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.4% (0.030000000000001 0.03)27.59% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.87% (0.040999999999997 0.04)63.12% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
FC Utrecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (-0.212 -0.21)16.77% (0.208 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.375 -0.38)46.71% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    SBV Excelsior 27.67%
    FC Utrecht 49.13%
    Draw 23.18%
SBV ExcelsiorDrawFC Utrecht
2-1 @ 6.85% (0.042 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.96% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 3.84% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 2.94% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.62%
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 27.67%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 4.63% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 9.5% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 4.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.96% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.9% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 49.13%

How you voted: SBV Excelsior vs Utrecht

SBV Excelsior
38.5%
Draw
7.7%
FC Utrecht
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 30, 2018 7pm
SBV Excelsior
3-3
Utrecht
Omarsson (6'), Koolwijk (8'), Bruins (26' pen.)
Matthys (81')
Kerk (55'), Venema (61'), Gustafson (65' pen.)
Tannane (23'), van der Maarel (25'), Klaiber (26'), Janssen (59')
Klaiber (85')
Feb 4, 2018 11.30am
SBV Excelsior
2-2
Utrecht
Elbers (22'), Faik (77')
Haspolat (72')
Van der Maarel (25'), Labyad (73')
Kerk (83')
Nov 19, 2017 1.30pm
Utrecht
3-1
SBV Excelsior
Dessers (8'), Ayoub (56'), Janssen (64')
El Azzouzi (88')
Elbers (40')
Apr 4, 2017 5.30pm
SBV Excelsior
1-3
Utrecht
Van Duinen (6')
Vermeulen (31'), de Wijs (38'), Elbers (87')
Haller (39' pen.), Mattheij (49' og.), Kerk (55')
Klaiber (34'), Janssen (53'), Troupee (65'), Haller (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
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Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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