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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | FC Volendam | 6 | -13 | 4 |
17 | Go Ahead Eagles | 6 | -7 | 3 |
18 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | -9 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | FC Utrecht | 7 | -1 | 9 |
8 | SBV Excelsior | 6 | -7 | 9 |
9 | NEC | 7 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fortuna Sittard in this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
42.36% ( 0.24) | 25.38% ( -1) | 32.25% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 55.45% ( 3.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.77% ( 4.44) | 48.23% ( -4.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.62% ( 3.93) | 70.38% ( -3.93) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.33% ( 2.07) | 22.67% ( -2.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.68% ( 2.98) | 56.32% ( -2.97) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.7% ( 2.73) | 28.3% ( -2.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.98% ( 3.31) | 64.02% ( -3.31) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
1-0 @ 9.52% ( -1.19) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.4) 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.21) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.21% Total : 42.37% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.53) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -1.26) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.24) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.33) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.37) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.73% Total : 32.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 18 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 61 | 15 | 46 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 42 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 39 |
4 | Feyenoord | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 38 | 23 | 15 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 28 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 25 |
9 | Heerenveen | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 24 |
10 | Willem II | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 22 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 22 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 20 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 17 |
15 | Heracles | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 7 |
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