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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 60.42%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Almere City had a probability of 18.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Almere City win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
60.42% ( 0.56) | 21.19% ( -0.1) | 18.39% ( -0.46) |
Both teams to score 54.85% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.82% ( -0.31) | 42.18% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.41% ( -0.31) | 64.58% ( 0.31) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( 0.07) | 13.53% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.4% ( 0.14) | 40.6% ( -0.14) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.44% ( -0.68) | 36.56% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.65% ( -0.69) | 73.34% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Almere City |
2-1 @ 9.96% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.18) 1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 60.42% | 1-1 @ 9.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.54% Total : 18.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 62 | 18 | 44 | 46 |
2 | Ajax | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 24 | 45 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 40 |
4 | Feyenoord | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 34 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 33 | 19 | 14 | 34 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 19 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 24 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 23 |
12 | Willem II | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 23 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 20 |
14 | Heracles | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 18 |
15 | Groningen | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 17 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 19 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 10 | 39 | -29 | 10 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 8 |
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