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AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 21
Feb 2, 2025 at 3.45pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
Groningen

Sparta
1 - 0
Groningen

Lauritsen (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Darri Willumsson (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-2 Sparta
Sunday, January 26 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 1-1 Groningen
Tuesday, January 28 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Groningen

Sparta have endured a difficult season at home and Groningen are particularly poor on the road, so expect a close game. However, the hosts will be feeling confident after picking up an important three points last time out, and that could give them enough of an edge over the visitors to take all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 50.68%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sparta Rotterdam in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sparta Rotterdam.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawGroningen
50.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.18% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 25.14% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 54.56% (0.351 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.83% (0.424 0.42)47.17% (-0.425 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.59% (0.394 0.39)69.4% (-0.395 -0.39)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.36% (0.158 0.16)18.63% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06% (0.268 0.27)49.94% (-0.269 -0.27)
Groningen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (0.3 0.3)32.94% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (0.333 0.33)69.52% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 50.68%
    Groningen 25.14%
    Draw 24.18%
Sparta RotterdamDrawGroningen
1-0 @ 10.31% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.024 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 50.68%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.18%
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.034 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 25.14%

How you voted: Sparta vs Groningen

Sparta Rotterdam
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Groningen
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 12
Groningen
1-0
Sparta
Postema (31')
Peersman (64')

Clement (30'), Metinho (63')
May 28, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
Groningen
0-5
Sparta

Dybvik Maatta (26')
Musampa (24')
De Guzman (25'), Saito (58'), Verschueren (75'), Lauritsen (79'), Van Crooij (89' pen.)
Vriends (15')
Sep 17, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 7
Sparta
2-1
Groningen
Mijnans (73'), Van Crooij (90' pen.)
Pepi (61')
May 7, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 29
Groningen
1-2
Sparta
Meijer (77')
Strand Larsen (52')
Verschueren (20'), Thy (57')
van Crooij (88'), Heylen (90+3')
Oct 17, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 8
Sparta
1-1
Groningen
Smeets (33')
Auassar (6'), Smeets (36'), Okoye (37'), Abels (79')
Ngonge (28')
Ngonge (36'), Suslov (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV23164371264552
2Ajax21163245182751
3FC UtrechtUtrecht2312744236643
4Feyenoord22117446262040
5AZ AlkmaarAZ22124638211740
6FC Twente21106544301436
7Go Ahead Eagles2210574034635
8Groningen2376102232-1027
9NAC BredaNAC Breda2383122641-1527
10Fortuna SittardSittard2275102940-1126
11Heerenveen2275102641-1526
12NECNijmegen2173113230224
13PEC Zwolle2266102634-824
14Willem II2366112634-824
15Heracles225982839-1124
16Sparta RotterdamSparta2348111933-1420
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk2245133145-1417
18Almere CityAlmere City2134141243-3113


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