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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 23.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.03%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NAC Breda |
53.38% ( 0.17) | 23.37% ( 0.04) | 23.25% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.53% ( -0.37) | 45.46% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.2% ( -0.36) | 67.8% ( 0.36) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.02% ( -0.07) | 16.98% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.91% ( -0.13) | 47.09% ( 0.13) |
NAC Breda Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.36% ( -0.39) | 33.64% ( 0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.71% ( -0.42) | 70.29% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NAC Breda |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.38% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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