MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 09:50:05| >> :600:541347:541347:
Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 9, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
AEK Arena - George Karapatakis
West Ham logo

Larnaca
0 - 2
West Ham

FT(HT: 0-2)
Antonio (36', 45+1')
Downes (68'), Kehrer (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between AEK Larnaca and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Dnipro-1 0-0 Larnaca
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
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We said: AEK Larnaca 1-3 West Ham United

On some level, Moyes will feel that this is one of the most important matches of his reign, the pressure on his players to deliver when his job is at risk. However, the Hammers should have too much firepower for one of the minnows remaining in this competition, potentially laying the foundations for a comfortable second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Larnaca win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AEK Larnaca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
AEK LarnacaDrawWest Ham United
39.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 26.66% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 33.72% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)53.22% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.22% (0.057000000000002 0.06)74.78% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)26.31% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.55% (0.024000000000001 0.02)61.44% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.19% (0.058999999999997 0.06)29.8% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.11% (0.070999999999998 0.07)65.88% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    AEK Larnaca 39.62%
    West Ham United 33.72%
    Draw 26.65%
AEK LarnacaDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.11% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 39.62%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 33.72%

How you voted: Larnaca vs West Ham

AEK Larnaca
15.4%
Draw
9.6%
West Ham United
75.0%
156
rhs 2.0
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2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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