MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 14:26:47| >> :600:172220:172220:
West Ham logo
Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
London Stadium

West Ham
4 - 0
Larnaca

Scamacca (20'), Bowen (47', 49'), Mubama (65')
Mubama (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United advance to the Europa Conference League quarter-finals after beating AEK Larnaca 6-0 on aggregate in the last 16.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between West Ham United and AEK Larnaca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Larnaca 0-2 West Ham
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.95%), while for an AEK Larnaca win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
West Ham UnitedDrawAEK Larnaca
55.47% (-0.399 -0.4) 23.12% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 21.41% (0.452 0.45)
Both teams to score 53.48% (0.84 0.84)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.56% (0.794 0.79)46.44% (-0.797 -0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.28% (0.741 0.74)68.72% (-0.74499999999999 -0.74)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.41% (0.142 0.14)16.59% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.61% (0.256 0.26)46.39% (-0.259 -0.26)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.898 0.9)35.88% (-0.902 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.91 0.91)72.66% (-0.913 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    West Ham United 55.46%
    AEK Larnaca 21.41%
    Draw 23.11%
West Ham UnitedDrawAEK Larnaca
1-0 @ 10.69% (-0.31 -0.31)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.61% (-0.231 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.9% (0.031999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.75% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.089 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.047 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 55.46%
1-1 @ 10.95% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.95% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.11%
0-1 @ 6.1% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.113 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.083 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: West Ham vs Larnaca

West Ham United
88.2%
Draw
5.9%
AEK Larnaca
5.9%
85
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2023 5.45pm
Round of 16
Larnaca
0-2
West Ham
Antonio (36', 45+1')
Downes (68'), Kehrer (87')
rhs 2.0
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