Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 56.21%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
56.21% ( 0.32) | 24.23% ( -0.15) | 19.56% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 47.37% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% ( 0.34) | 53.17% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% ( 0.28) | 74.74% ( -0.28) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( 0.25) | 18.79% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.8% ( 0.41) | 50.2% ( -0.41) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.33% ( -0) | 41.67% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.85% ( -0) | 78.15% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 56.21% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
10 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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