Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 21, 2022 at 6pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel2 - 0Crusaders
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Basel and Crusaders.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Winterthur 1-1 Basel
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, July 16 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Servette | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Basel | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 5 | FC Winterthur | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Last Game: Crusaders 3-1 Magpies
Thursday, July 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Coleraine | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Crusaders | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Dungannon Swifts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 17.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.45%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Crusaders win it was 0-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Crusaders |
| 57.33% | 25.49% | 17.17% |
| Both teams to score 40.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
