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Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League
Basel
Conference League | Last 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 17, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Marseille

Basel
1 - 2
Marseille

Ndoye (63')
Chalov (26'), Burger (34'), Ndoye (76'), Tavares (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Under (74'), Rongier (90+3')
Sampaoli (38'), Peres (70'), Mandanda (86'), Balerdi (90+4'), Gerson (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Basel and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Basel

Last Six:
Last Game: Basel 2-1 Lugano
Sunday, May 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Marseille

Last Six:
Last Game: Marseille 4-0 Strasbourg
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Basel 0-1 Marseille

 Marseille have been dominant as of late, and due to the fact they have fewer injury concerns, and that does make them the favourites on Thursday, even away from home. The hosts will certainly provide a stern test within this match, but the visitors do just have an edge in terms of quality that should help them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Basel had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.14%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawMarseille
33.72%28.57%37.71%
Both teams to score 45.97%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57%60.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44%80.57%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52%33.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89%70.11%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.11%30.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.82%67.18%
Score Analysis
    Basel 33.71%
    Marseille 37.7%
    Draw 28.56%
BaselDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 11.31%
2-1 @ 7.27%
2-0 @ 6.19%
3-1 @ 2.65%
3-0 @ 2.26%
3-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.71%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.56%
0-1 @ 12.14%
1-2 @ 7.81%
0-2 @ 7.14%
1-3 @ 3.06%
0-3 @ 2.79%
2-3 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 37.7%

How you voted: Basel vs Marseille

Basel
26.5%
Draw
25.5%
Marseille
48.0%
98
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2022 8pm
Marseille
2-1
Basel
Milik (19' pen., 68')
Payet (43')
Esposito (79')
Burger (81'), Males (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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