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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
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Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Mar 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Marseille

Brest
1 - 4
Marseille

Cardona (90+1')
Satriano (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gerson (3'), Milik (63'), Harit (71'), Under (90+1')
Guendouzi (33'), Saliba (77'), Gueye (89'), Peres (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-4 Bordeaux
Saturday, May 21 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 1-2 Marseille

Marseille's recent Conference League exertions and sticky patch of league form will play right into Brest's hands, but the hosts have very little to fight for in the final months of the season. Sampaoli possesses plenty of talented options on the bench ready to make an impact, and with a penchant for victories away from home, Les Olympiens can use their wealth of firepower to edge a tight contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 51.34%. A win for Brest had a probability of 24.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawMarseille
24.63%24.02%51.34%
Both teams to score 54.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.06%46.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82%69.18%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.76%33.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.15%69.85%
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.71%18.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.64%49.36%
Score Analysis
    Brest 24.64%
    Marseille 51.34%
    Draw 24.02%
BrestDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 6.7%
2-1 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-0 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 24.64%
1-1 @ 11.37%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.32%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 10.32%
1-2 @ 9.66%
0-2 @ 8.77%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.97%
2-3 @ 3.01%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 2.11%
2-4 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 51.34%

How you voted: Brest vs Marseille

Brest
14.8%
Draw
7.4%
Marseille
77.8%
54
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 4pm
Marseille
1-2
Brest
Gerson (29')
Kamara (61')
Faivre (53' pen.), Honorat (70')
Pierre-Gabriel (90+2'), Cardona (90+3')
Mar 13, 2021 4pm
Marseille
3-1
Brest
Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')
Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')
Aug 30, 2020 8pm
Brest
2-3
Marseille
Faivre (45+1'), Charbonnier (89')
Pierre-Gabriel (84'), Magnetti (90')
Thauvin (20'), Caleta-Car (27', 80')
Kamara (8'), Amavi (30'), Radonjic (45+3'), Balerdi (61')
Apr 5, 2020 8pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.45pm
Marseille
2-1
Brest
Sarr (56'), Radonjic (89')
Cardona (88')
Diallo (20'), Mendy (98')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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6pm
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9.30pm
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Eagles
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1778226161029
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens177642116527
8Toulouse177371919024
9StrasbourgStrasbourg176563029123
10Auxerre176472426-222
11Brest177192630-422
12Reims175572325-220
13Angers175481927-819
14Rennes1752102325-217
15NantesNantes173772027-716
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1740131336-2312
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1723121642-269


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