MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 17:43:36| >> :600:715621:715621:
Fiorentina logo
Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 11, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Basel

Fiorentina
1 - 2
Basel

Cabral (25')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diouf (71'), Amdouni (90+2')
Nuhu (59'), Vogel (67'), Burger (72'), Ndoye (78')

The Match

Match Report

Basel come from a goal down to beat Fiorentina 2-1 in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Basel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Basel had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.25%), while for a Basel win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawBasel
62.98% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 19.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 17.06% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)38.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.25% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)11.74% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.11% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)36.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.78% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 62.98%
    Basel 17.06%
    Draw 19.95%
FiorentinaDrawBasel
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.62% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.59%
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 62.98%
1-1 @ 9.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.95%
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 4.32% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.21%
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 17.06%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Basel

Fiorentina
82.5%
Draw
10.5%
Basel
7.0%
143
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2015 6pm
Group Stage
Basel
2-2
Fiorentina
Suchy (40'), Elneny (74')
Safari (22'), Bjarnason (26'), Janko (45'), Suchy (65'), Zuffi (78')
Bernardeschi (23', 36')
Rodriguez (45'), Badelj (45'), Valero (75')
Roncaglia (26')
Sep 17, 2015 8.05pm
Group Stage
Fiorentina
1-2
Basel
Kalinic (3')
Roncaglia (35')
Rodriguez (65')
Bjarnason (71'), Elneny (79')
Xhaka (34'), Suchy (57'), Janko (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Arsenal105321711618
5Aston Villa95311611518
6Chelsea95221911817
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
8Bournemouth104331312115
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs94141810813
11Brentford94141818013
12Fulham93331212012
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd9324811-311
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace9135611-56
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves90271225-132


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!