Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 77.73%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 7.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.08%) and 1-0 (10.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
77.73% ( -0.12) | 14.61% ( 0.05) | 7.66% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 44.35% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.4% ( 0.06) | 38.6% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.1% ( 0.07) | 60.9% ( -0.07) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.89% ( -0.01) | 8.11% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.51% ( -0.03) | 28.49% ( 0.03) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.27% ( 0.24) | 51.73% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.17% ( 0.16) | 85.83% ( -0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Sampdoria |
2-0 @ 13.23% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.14% Total : 77.72% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 14.61% | 0-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.69% Total : 7.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 12 | 20 | 47 |
2 | Inter Milan | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 20 | 7 | 13 | 0 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 34 |
6 | Fiorentina | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 31 |
8 | Bologna | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 29 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
10 | Roma | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 24 |
11 | Genoa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
12 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
13 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 19 |
16 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |