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Fiorentina logo
Coppa Italia | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Cremonese

Fiorentina
0 - 0
Cremonese

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Fiorentina and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Cremonese (Fiorentina win 3-1 on aggregate)

Amid a packed schedule at home and abroad, Fiorentina may not be able to go at full tilt for the whole 90 minutes, but they should still do enough to progress to the final. Overcoming the Viola's first-leg lead is a step too far for cup giant-killers Cremonese, who will bow out with heads held high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 64.82%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 14.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
64.82% (1.538 1.54) 20.2% (-0.692 -0.69) 14.98% (-0.851 -0.85)
Both teams to score 50.72% (0.255 0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (1.373 1.37)43.97% (-1.377 -1.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (1.326 1.33)66.35% (-1.329 -1.33)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (0.878 0.88)12.8% (-0.882 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (1.778 1.78)39.11% (-1.782 -1.78)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16% (-0.298 -0.3)41.83% (0.296 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71% (-0.26 -0.26)78.29% (0.258 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 64.81%
    Cremonese 14.98%
    Draw 20.2%
FiorentinaDrawCremonese
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.07 0.07)
1-0 @ 11% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.75% (0.299 0.3)
3-1 @ 6.76% (0.207 0.21)
4-0 @ 3.99% (0.278 0.28)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.216 0.22)
3-2 @ 2.94% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.64% (0.164 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.51% (0.082 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.43% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 64.81%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.339 -0.34)
0-0 @ 5.35% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.326 -0.33)
1-2 @ 4.18% (-0.183 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 14.98%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Cremonese

Fiorentina
78.0%
Draw
12.0%
Cremonese
10.0%
50
Head to Head
Apr 5, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Cremonese
0-2
Fiorentina

Aiwu (73')
Cabral (20'), Gonzalez (75' pen.)
Martinez (38')
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
gameweek 26
Cremonese
0-2
Fiorentina

Ferrari (51')
Mandragora (27'), Cabral (50')
Mandragora (55'), Brekalo (60')
Aug 14, 2022 5.30pm
gameweek 1
Fiorentina
3-2
Cremonese
Bonaventura (16'), Jovic (34'), Mandragora (90+5')
Okereke (19'), Buonaiuto (68')
Chiriches (9'), Ghiglione (62'), Okereke (82')
Escalante (44')
rhs 2.0
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7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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