MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:19:15| >> :600:377497:377497:
Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Vilniaus LFF stadionas

Zalgiris
2 - 1
Pafos

Antal (17', 26')
Golubickas (61'), Ors Gyorgy Tordai (90'), Larsson (90+5'), Hodzic (90+6')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Moutachy (62' og.)
Pelagio (57'), Rovaris Dall'Igna (90+6'), Bruno (90+9')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between FK Zalgiris and Pafos FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Zalgiris 1-0 VPS
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Pafos 2-5 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 18 at 5pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Pafos FC had a probability of 22.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Pafos FC win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FK Zalgiris would win this match.

Result
FK ZalgirisDrawPafos FC
53.96% (0.0049999999999955 0) 23.16% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.88% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 55.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.93% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72%67.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.42%16.58% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)46.37% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Pafos FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)33.66% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.68% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.31% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    FK Zalgiris 53.95%
    Pafos FC 22.88%
    Draw 23.15%
FK ZalgirisDrawPafos FC
1-0 @ 10.02%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.01% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-1 @ 5.88%
3-0 @ 5.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.2%
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.44%
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 53.95%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.58%
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.31%
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 22.88%

How you voted: Zalgiris vs Pafos

FK Zalgiris
64.3%
Draw
23.8%
Pafos FC
11.9%
42
rhs 2.0
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