Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Hapoel Be'er Sheva had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Hapoel Be'er Sheva win was 1-0 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
0.02) 
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