Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Omonia win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 30.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Omonia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.56%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.