MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:11:25| >> :600:370284:370284:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 13, 2023 at 7pm UK
Ecolog Arena

Shkendija
1 - 0
Haverfordwest

Shala (47')
Redzhepi (18'), Qaka (41'), Adili (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Shkendija and Haverfordwest County.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Shkendija 1-1 AIK (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
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Last Game: Newtown 1-1 Haverfordwest (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 13 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shkendija in this match.

Result
ShkendijaDrawHaverfordwest County
54.02% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 23.91% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 22.06% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.84% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.95% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)49.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.87% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)71.12% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)18.07% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.02% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)48.98% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Haverfordwest County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.27% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.72% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.49% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Shkendija 54.01%
    Haverfordwest County 22.07%
    Draw 23.91%
ShkendijaDrawHaverfordwest County
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.71% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 54.01%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.63% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.63%
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 22.07%

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