Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haverfordwest County win with a probability of 42.93%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haverfordwest County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haverfordwest County would win this match.