MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:36:28| >> :120:80227:80227:
Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Brann Stadion
Arouca

Brann
3 - 1
Arouca

Myhre (6'), Pallesen Knudsen (42'), Finne (45')
Baardsen Pedersen (38'), Crone (50'), Pallesen Knudsen (64')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Sylla (57')
Galovic (27'), Simao (57'), Santos (90+3'), De Arruabarrena (90+3')
Galovic (90+3')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between SK Brann and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 2-1 Brann
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Arouca 4-3 Estoril
Sunday, August 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 16.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
SK BrannDrawArouca
64.08% (-0.416 -0.42) 19.17% (0.041999999999998 0.04) 16.75% (0.37 0.37)
Both teams to score 58.64% (0.70800000000001 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.37% (0.523 0.52)35.63% (-0.528 -0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.31% (0.577 0.58)57.68% (-0.582 -0.58)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.46% (0.043999999999997 0.04)10.54% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.74% (0.101 0.1)34.25% (-0.106 -0.11)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (0.756 0.76)34.45% (-0.761 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.83% (0.799 0.8)71.16% (-0.803 -0.8)
Score Analysis
    SK Brann 64.08%
    Arouca 16.75%
    Draw 19.17%
SK BrannDrawArouca
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.207 -0.21)
1-0 @ 8.17% (-0.201 -0.2)
3-1 @ 7.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 6.89% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 4.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.88% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.2% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.75% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-2 @ 0.99% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 64.08%
1-1 @ 8.71% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 19.17%
1-2 @ 4.64% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 3.87% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 16.75%

How you voted: Brann vs Arouca

SK Brann
52.0%
Draw
4.0%
Arouca
44.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Arouca
2-1
Brann
Mujica (23'), Cristo (74')
Galovic (64'), Busquets (85')
Warming (79')
Warming (71'), Baardsen Pedersen (81')
rhs 2.0
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