Portimonense0 - 2Arouca
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
for
Saturday, May 20 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Portimonense 0-2 Arouca
Buoyed by their dominant display against Chaves, Arouca go all out for an all-important win as they look to snatch a spot in Europe on the last day. The Arouquenses have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we fancy them to come away with all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 37.89%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arouca in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Arouca.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Arouca |
35.4% ( -0.31) | 26.71% ( 0.06) | 37.89% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 51.82% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.79% ( -0.25) | 53.2% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.23% ( -0.22) | 74.77% ( 0.22) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.26% ( -0.31) | 28.74% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.42% ( -0.39) | 64.58% ( 0.39) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.73% ( 0.02) | 27.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.29% ( 0.03) | 62.7% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.64% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 37.89% |
