Europa League | Round of 32
Feb 25, 2021 at 5.55pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
Ajax2 - 1Lille
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 53.77%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 19.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.57%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (5.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Lille |
| 53.77% | 19.58% | 26.65% |
| Both teams to score 73.04% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 76.21% | 23.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 56.68% | 43.32% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.54% | 9.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.23% | 31.77% |
| Lille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.67% | 19.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.9% | 51.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Ajax 53.77%
Lille 26.65%
Draw 19.58%
| Ajax | Draw | Lille |
| 2-1 @ 8.36% 3-1 @ 6.57% 3-2 @ 5.4% 2-0 @ 5.08% 1-0 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 4% 4-1 @ 3.87% 4-2 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 2.36% 5-1 @ 1.83% 4-3 @ 1.74% 5-2 @ 1.5% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 4.46% Total : 53.77% | 1-1 @ 7.09% 2-2 @ 6.87% 3-3 @ 2.96% 0-0 @ 1.83% Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.58% | 1-2 @ 5.82% 2-3 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 3.19% 0-1 @ 3.01% 0-2 @ 2.47% 2-4 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.35% 1-4 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.98% Total : 26.65% |
How you voted: Ajax vs Lille
Ajax
74.9%Draw
14.2%Lille
10.8%351
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Lille
0-2
Ajax
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Group Stage
Ajax
3-0
Lille
Form Guide
