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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 66.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.01%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 0-1 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Heracles win it was 2-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Ajax |
15.01% | 18.3% | 66.69% |
Both teams to score 57.68% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.06% | 34.93% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.08% | 56.92% |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.88% | 36.12% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.1% | 72.9% |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.29% | 9.71% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.65% | 32.34% |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 4.24% 1-0 @ 3.57% 2-0 @ 1.82% 3-2 @ 1.68% 3-1 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.01% | 1-1 @ 8.33% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 3.51% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.21% Total : 18.3% | 1-2 @ 9.71% 0-2 @ 9.54% 0-1 @ 8.18% 1-3 @ 7.55% 0-3 @ 7.42% 1-4 @ 4.4% 0-4 @ 4.33% 2-3 @ 3.85% 2-4 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 2.06% 0-5 @ 2.02% 2-5 @ 1.05% Other @ 4.36% Total : 66.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 13 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 45 | 9 | 36 | 36 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 31 |
3 | Ajax | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 29 |
4 | Feyenoord | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 28 |
5 | FC Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 25 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 20 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 18 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
9 | NECNijmegen | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 16 |
10 | Willem II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 16 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
12 | Heerenveen | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 14 |
13 | Heracles | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 13 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Groningen | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 30 | -24 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 33 | -21 | 5 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |