We said: Konyaspor 1-2 Fenerbahce
Fenerbahce's superior firepower and pressing need to close the gap on Galatasaray should see them edge this clash, but Konyaspor's strong home record and defensive resilience could make this a closely contested affair, which is why we expect a narrow Fenerbahce victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Konyaspor had a probability of 26.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Konyaspor win it was 1-0 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.