Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.47%) and 2-0 (5.84%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.