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Potential new EL header

Europa League
Molde logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Aker Stadion
Qarabag

Molde
2 - 2
Qarabag

Eriksen (82', 87')
Grodem (36'), Fjortoft Lovik (43'), Wolff Eikrem (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Juninho (11'), Mustafazada (90+5')
Andrade (66'), Medina (76'), Xhixha (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Molde and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Molde

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-3 Molde
Sunday, November 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Qarabag FK

All competitions
Last Game: Qarabag 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Molde 2-1 Qarabag FK

 The international break seemed to have done wonders for Molde, as they looked much sharper in their weekend fixture against Sapsborg, and that win would also have given them some much-needed momentum heading into this crucial fixture. The hosts cannot qualify for Europe next season due to their poor league position and will have to throw everything they have into the next two matches in this competition. It should be an entertaining watch, but we are backing the hosts to get the victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.89%) and 3-1 (5.67%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
MoldeDrawQarabag FK
46.37% (0.256 0.26) 21.99% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 31.64% (-0.302 -0.3)
Both teams to score 67.49% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.65% (-0.395 -0.39)32.36% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.02% (-0.461 -0.46)53.98% (0.467 0.47)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)14.62% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.27% (-0.117 -0.12)42.73% (0.123 0.12)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (-0.352 -0.35)20.96% (0.357 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.3% (-0.556 -0.56)53.71% (0.562 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Molde 46.37%
    Qarabag FK 31.64%
    Draw 21.99%
MoldeDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 5.89% (0.112 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.67% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.66% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.053 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.73% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.75% (0.022 0.02)
4-3 @ 1.11% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 46.37%
1-1 @ 9.21% (0.077 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.92% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 2.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 21.99%
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.79% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.9% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 31.64%

How you voted: Molde vs Qarabag

Molde
75.5%
Draw
20.4%
Qarabag FK
4.1%
49
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Qarabag
1-0
Molde
Andrade (55')
Jankovic (84'), Medina (87'), Romao (90+1')

Breivik (20'), Ellingsen (34'), Andre Kaasa (47'), Eriksen (90+7')
> Preview
Sep 16, 2020 6pm
Third Qualifying Round
Qarabag
0-0
Molde
 Molde win 6-5 on penalties
Medina (50'), Guerrier (67'), Andrade (86')
Hussain (83'), Hestad (89')
rhs 2.0
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