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Europa League
Qarabag
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))

Qarabag
2 - 1
Hacken

Andrade (1'), Benzia (45+3')
Vesovic (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Huseynov (90+4' og.)
Hovland (22'), Sonko (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Hacken, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Molde 2-2 Qarabag
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Hacken

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Hacken 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, November 30 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Qarabag FK 3-0 Hacken

 Qarabag still have a need for a positive result on Thursday if they are to keep hold of second spot in their group, while Hacken have struggled to remain competitive in this year's Europa League, and we can only see them bowing out without a point following a defeat in Azerbaijan, with the hosts likely to outclass the Swedish outfit all over the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.3%) and 1-0 (4.78%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Qarabag FK in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Qarabag FK.

Result
Qarabag FKDrawHacken
42.89% (-0.312 -0.31) 21.51% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 35.6% (0.353 0.35)
Both teams to score 70.96% (0.264 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.54% (0.30300000000001 0.3)28.46% (-0.304 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.69% (0.374 0.37)49.31% (-0.374 -0.37)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.68% (0.01100000000001 0.01)14.32% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.85% (0.020000000000003 0.02)42.14% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Hacken Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.297 0.3)17.18% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.55% (0.52 0.52)47.45% (-0.52 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Qarabag FK 42.89%
    Hacken 35.6%
    Draw 21.51%
Qarabag FKDrawHacken
2-1 @ 8.19% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.3% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-0 @ 4.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 4.67% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.01% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.58% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.27% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-3 @ 1.33% (0.017 0.02)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 8.42% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 7.21% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.74% (0.035 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.46% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.35% (0.051 0.05)
0-1 @ 4.33% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.23% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 3.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.24% (0.026 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.86% (0.04 0.04)
3-4 @ 1.21% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.6%

How you voted: Qarabag vs Hacken

Qarabag FK
82.4%
Draw
11.8%
Hacken
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Hacken
0-1
Qarabag

Gustafson (89')
Juninho (70')
Jankovic (29'), Andrade (84')
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