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Europa League
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Joseph Marien
Braga

Union SG
3 - 3
Braga

Okoh Boniface (20', 62'), Vanzeir (49')
Thierry Lazare (45'), Lynen (86')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Oliveira (15', 36', 41')
Silva (25'), Niakate (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union SG and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Union SG 2-1 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, October 9 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Union SG 2-1 Braga

 Union SG will welcome the challenge of an out-of-sorts Braga side, who have lost each of their last three matches. The Belgian side have been rock-solid on home turf, where they have won six of their last seven outings, and we predict that they will maintain their perfect European record with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Braga had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.36%) and 1-0 (4.84%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Union SGDrawBraga
43.37% (0.095999999999997 0.1) 21.51% (0.023 0.02) 35.12% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 70.82% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.41% (-0.16 -0.16)28.58% (0.154 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.53% (-0.197 -0.2)49.47% (0.19 0.19)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)14.2% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.08% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)41.91% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (-0.13 -0.13)17.46% (0.124 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (-0.223 -0.22)47.92% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 43.37%
    Braga 35.12%
    Draw 21.51%
Union SGDrawBraga
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 4.84% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.72% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.68% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.07% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 43.37%
1-1 @ 8.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.19% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 2.48% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.51%
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.33% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.29% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-4 @ 1.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 35.12%

How you voted: Union SG vs Braga

Union SG
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Braga
20.0%
90
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2022 8pm
Group D
Braga
1-2
Union SG
Ruiz (49')
Nilsson (86', 90+4')
Teuma (17')
rhs 2.0
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