Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2023 at 5pm UK
Baki Olimpiya Stadionu
Azerbaijan3 - 0Sweden
Mahmudov (3', 89'), Dadasov (6')
Seydayev (29'), Mahammadaliyev (72'), Krivotsyuk (90+2')
Mustafazada (57')
Seydayev (29'), Mahammadaliyev (72'), Krivotsyuk (90+2')
Mustafazada (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-1 Austria
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Monday, October 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 7 | 13 | 17 |
| 2 | Austria | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | Sweden | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | -8 | 4 |
| 5 | Estonia | 6 | -16 | 1 |
We said: Azerbaijan 0-2 Sweden
Without a win or even a goal from their three previous showdowns with Sweden, Azerbaijan's scoreless and victory-less streak versus the Scandinavians ought to continue on Thursday, even if Andersson's men understandably find it difficult to focus on the football. The Blue and Yellows gave Belgium a good run for their money without Isak last month, and we expect Andersson's final away match in charge to end in a comfortable success. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest Azerbaijan win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Sweden |
26.08% ( -1.05) | 25.64% ( -0.4) | 48.28% ( 1.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.88% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
