MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:57:37| >> :60:42:42:
Sweden national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Friends Arena
Moldova national football team

Sweden
3 - 1
Moldova

Karlsson (9', 74'), Lagerbielke (18')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Nicolaescu (39')
Cojocaru (41'), Baboglo (52'), Marandici (66'), Craciun (67'), Platica (71'), Revenco (73'), Posmac (84')
Craciun (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Sweden and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sweden

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 1-3 Austria
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium51213
2Austria5813
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan4-91
5Estonia5-141

Moldova

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Faroe Islands 0-1 Moldova
Sunday, September 10 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Sweden 1-0 Moldova

 With both nations having more important qualifying fixtures on the horizon, it is difficult to envisage either playing this friendly at full intensity, but the hosts clearly have more to prove after a difficult run of results. Sweden's hopes of qualifying for Euro 2024 appear to be very slim at this stage, whereas Moldova could compete at a major tournament for the first time in their history after winning consecutive matches, but we believe that Andersson's side will return to victorious ways here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawMoldova
55.63% (-0.185 -0.18) 24.96% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 19.4% (0.221 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.12% (0.44 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.96% (0.399 0.4)56.04% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.88% (0.323 0.32)77.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.88% (0.082999999999998 0.08)20.12% (-0.087 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.62% (0.134 0.13)52.38% (-0.137 -0.14)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.48% (0.48999999999999 0.49)43.51% (-0.49299999999999 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.28% (0.405 0.41)79.72% (-0.407 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 55.62%
    Moldova 19.4%
    Draw 24.96%
SwedenDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 14.03% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 11.25% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 6.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.01% (0.03 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.08% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 55.62%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.75% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-2 @ 3.9% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.86% (0.069 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.035 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.35% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.08% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 19.4%

How you voted: Sweden vs Moldova

Sweden
85.7%
Draw
14.3%
Moldova
0.0%
21
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2020 5pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
1-0
Moldova
Larsson (32')
Oct 12, 2015 5pm
Qualifiers
Sweden
2-0
Moldova
Ibrahimovic (24'), Zengin (47')
> Match Report
Mar 27, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Moldova
0-2
Sweden
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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