MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:11:40| >> :600:8671974:8671974:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Estonia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 5pm UK
A. Le Coq Arena
Azerbaijan national football team

Estonia
0 - 2
Azerbaijan


Pikk (18'), Kait (68'), Vetkal (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bayramov (9'), Seydayev (45+4' pen.)
Mahmudov (22'), Mammadov (40'), Madatov (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Estonia and Azerbaijan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estonia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Belgium 5-0 Estonia
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium51213
2Austria5813
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan4-91
5Estonia5-141

Azerbaijan

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Azerbaijan 2-1 Jordan
Tuesday, September 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium51213
2Austria5813
3Sweden536
4Azerbaijan4-91
5Estonia5-141

We said: Estonia 1-2 Azerbaijan

 A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched nations could be on the cards on Friday, but considering Estonia's recent troubles in defence and Azerbaijan's solid performances against Belgium and Jordan last time out, we believe that the visitors will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Estonia had a probability of 28.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Estonia win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Azerbaijan would win this match.

Result
EstoniaDrawAzerbaijan
28.36% (0.304 0.3) 26.04% (-0.154 -0.15) 45.6% (-0.152 -0.15)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.672 0.67)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (0.775 0.77)52.64% (-0.77699999999999 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (0.661 0.66)74.29% (-0.663 -0.66)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.72% (0.64700000000001 0.65)33.28% (-0.649 -0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.1% (0.703 0.7)69.9% (-0.705 -0.7)
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (0.262 0.26)23.03% (-0.264 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (0.385 0.38)56.85% (-0.387 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Estonia 28.36%
    Azerbaijan 45.59%
    Draw 26.04%
EstoniaDrawAzerbaijan
1-0 @ 8.43% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 6.81% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.64% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.5% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.7% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 28.36%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 7.67% (-0.238 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5% (0.1 0.1)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.26% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.45% (0.046 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.04% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.63% (0.029 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 45.59%

How you voted: Estonia vs Azerbaijan

Estonia
21.1%
Draw
27.4%
Azerbaijan
51.6%
95
Head to Head
Jun 17, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Azerbaijan
1-1
Estonia
Krivotsyuk (62')
Bayramov (72')
Sappinen (27')
Mets (42'), Kait (90+2')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!