MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 14:41:28| >> :600:3352962:3352962:
Czech Republic national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fortuna Arena
Albania national football team

Czech Republic
1 - 1
Albania

Cerny (56')
Provod (90+6'), Chytil (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bajrami (66')
Asani (52'), Bajrami (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Czech Republic and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Montenegro 1-4 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 20 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Faroe Islands 1-3 Albania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Czech Republic 1-0 Albania

As Albania have won just twice since the start of 2022 - both times versus modest opposition - coming away from Prague with a point may be too much to ask. Despite having some potential game-changers in their squad, the Eagles lack the nous of their hosts, who do not tend to concede many goals against nations of a similar stature. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 53.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Albania had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for an Albania win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Czech RepublicDrawAlbania
53.29% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08) 24.07% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01) 22.63% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.06% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88% (0.113 0.11)49.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81% (0.104 0.1)71.18% (-0.104 -0.1)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63% (0.012 0.01)18.36% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.51% (0.021000000000001 0.02)49.48% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.14400000000001 0.14)36.22% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.99% (0.145 0.15)73% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Czech Republic 53.29%
    Albania 22.63%
    Draw 24.07%
Czech RepublicDrawAlbania
1-0 @ 11.27% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.7%
2-0 @ 9.55% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.29% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.29%
1-1 @ 11.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.07%
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.81% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.16% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 22.63%

How you voted: Czech Republic vs Albania

Czech Republic
67.0%
Draw
16.5%
Albania
16.5%
91
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2021 7.15pm
Friendlies 1
Czech Republic
3-1
Albania
Schick (18'), Masopust (68'), Celustka (89')
Soucek (55')
Cikalleshi (42')
Abrashi (54')
rhs 2.0
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