MX23RW : Monday, January 20 22:27:53| >> :600:8564947:8564947:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Poland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
National Stadium
Albania national football team

Poland
1 - 0
Albania

Swiderski (41')
Linetty (66'), Salamon (75'), Szymanski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hysaj (45'), Laci (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Poland and Albania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Czech Republic 3-1 Poland
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Albania

All competitions
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Armenia
Saturday, November 19 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 2-0 Albania

 In Santos's first home game as manager, there will have to be improvement on Friday's performance, and there should be more to come from the likes of Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zielinski. Albania are often a frustrating team to break down, but without Broja in attack, and the injured trio of Ismajli, Keidi Bare and Berat Djimsiti, they may struggle to come away from Warsaw with anything. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Albania had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Albania win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Poland in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Poland.

Result
PolandDrawAlbania
46.62% (1.865 1.87) 26.55% (-0.163 -0.16) 26.83% (-1.699 -1.7)
Both teams to score 48.78% (-0.659 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (-0.296 -0.3)55.46% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (-0.242 -0.24)76.65% (0.245 0.25)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.76700000000001 0.77)23.77% (-0.764 -0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.08% (1.088 1.09)57.92% (-1.085 -1.09)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-1.522 -1.52)36.01% (1.524 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-1.588 -1.59)72.79% (1.591 1.59)
Score Analysis
    Poland 46.61%
    Albania 26.83%
    Draw 26.55%
PolandDrawAlbania
1-0 @ 12.29% (0.41 0.41)
2-1 @ 9.02% (0.131 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.482 0.48)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.157 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.23% (0.318 0.32)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.55% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 46.61%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.56% (0.099 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.74% (-0.265 -0.26)
1-2 @ 6.42% (-0.322 -0.32)
0-2 @ 4.47% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-3 @ 2.18% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 26.83%

How you voted: Poland vs Albania

Poland
78.9%
Draw
9.4%
Albania
11.7%
213
Head to Head
Oct 12, 2021 7.45pm
Group I
Albania
0-1
Poland

Ismajli (34'), Hysaj (49'), Reja (65'), Ramadani (88')
Swiderski (77')
Buksa (39'), Bednarek (50'), Puchacz (90')
Sep 2, 2021 7.45pm
Group I
Poland
4-1
Albania
Lewandowski (12'), Buksa (44'), Krychowiak (54'), Linetty (89')
Swiderski (82'), Bednarek (86')
Cikalleshi (25')
Abrashi (4'), Bare (7'), Hysaj (11'), Gjasula (54'), Manaj (65')
rhs 2.0
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