MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 16:36:17| >> :600:9407851:9407851:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Albania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Air Albania Stadium
Moldova national football team

Albania
2 - 0
Moldova

Asani (51'), Bajrami (76')
Mitaj (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Motpan (37'), Baboglo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro 2024 Qualifying clash between Albania and Moldova, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Albania

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Moldova

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Moldova 0-0 Czech Republic
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Albania 2-0 Moldova

 Given results so far in Group E, simply sweeping aside Moldova may not be on the agenda for an Albania side blessed with far more depth and top-level experience. In fact, it could take time to break the visitors down, so a two-goal home win is perhaps the likeliest result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albania win with a probability of 51.73%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Moldova had a probability of 20.98%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albania win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Moldova win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Albania in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Albania.

Result
AlbaniaDrawMoldova
51.73% (0.467 0.47) 27.29% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 20.98% (-0.428 -0.43)
Both teams to score 41.31% (-0.393 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.78% (-0.236 -0.24)62.21% (0.23500000000001 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.11% (-0.174 -0.17)81.89% (0.17200000000001 0.17)
Albania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (0.11 0.11)24.36% (-0.111 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (0.156 0.16)58.76% (-0.157 -0.16)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.61% (-0.6 -0.6)45.39% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.76% (-0.477 -0.48)81.24% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Albania 51.72%
    Moldova 20.98%
    Draw 27.28%
AlbaniaDrawMoldova
1-0 @ 15.61% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.02% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.19% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.62% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 51.72%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 11.05% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 3.44% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 8.73% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
1-2 @ 4.87% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.086 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 0.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.98%

How you voted: Albania vs Moldova

Albania
78.8%
Draw
11.5%
Moldova
9.6%
52
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Moldova
0-4
Albania

Mudrac (29'), Graur (38'), Cebotaru (58'), Reabcuik (62'), Prepelita (81')
Cikalleshi (22'), Bare (34'), Trashi (40'), Manaj (90')
Bare (46'), Cikalleshi (57'), Gjasula (82')
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Albania
2-0
Moldova
Cikalleshi (66'), Ramadani (93')
Ramadani (93')

Armas (57'), Carp (76')
rhs 2.0
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