MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:36:05| >> :600:1948639:1948639:
Lithuania national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas
Montenegro national football team

Lithuania
2 - 2
Montenegro

Paulauskas (71'), Cernych (90+4')
Girdvainis (30')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Krstovic (78'), Savic (89')
Radulovic (31'), Durdevic (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Lithuania and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Hungary 2-0 Lithuania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Montenegro 1-4 Czech Republic
Tuesday, June 20 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Lithuania 1-2 Montenegro

Having claimed a draw with Bulgaria, Lithuania cannot be ruled out from gaining at least another share of the spoils in this contest. Nevertheless, we can only back the visitors, who should have enough quality at both ends of the pitch to come through with maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Lithuania had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.59%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Lithuania win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
LithuaniaDrawMontenegro
13.62% (0.399 0.4) 22.45% (0.196 0.2) 63.92% (-0.601 -0.6)
Both teams to score 40.81% (0.448 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.45% (0.027000000000001 0.03)55.55% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)76.72% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.09% (0.652 0.65)50.9% (-0.657 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.72% (0.433 0.43)85.28% (-0.44 -0.44)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.13% (-0.199 -0.2)16.87% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.1% (-0.35100000000001 -0.35)46.89% (0.344 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 13.62%
    Montenegro 63.91%
    Draw 22.44%
LithuaniaDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 5.8% (0.103 0.1)
2-1 @ 3.48% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 1.96% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 13.62%
1-1 @ 10.31% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.59% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.1% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.44%
0-1 @ 15.28% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-2 @ 13.59% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-2 @ 9.18% (0.045 0.04)
0-3 @ 8.07% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 3.59% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.032 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.28% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 63.91%

How you voted: Lithuania vs Montenegro

Lithuania
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Montenegro
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Lithuania
1-4
Montenegro
Mugosa (10', 45'), Kopitovic (35'), Zoric (86')
Vesovic (33')
Sep 10, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Montenegro
2-0
Lithuania
Savic (34' pen.), Jankovic (36')
Vukcevic (14'), Jankovic (38')

Vaitkunas (52'), Lasickas (54'), Vorobjovas (79')
rhs 2.0
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