MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 04:48:32| >> :600:320144:320144:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Montenegro national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Serbia national football team

Montenegro
0 - 2
Serbia


Krstovic (26')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vlahovic (78', 90+5')
Zivkovic (58'), Mladenovic (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Montenegro and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montenegro

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-1 Montenegro
Friday, March 24 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Serbia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Serbia 2-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 24 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Montenegro 1-1 Serbia

 Serbia will be the favourites on Monday, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams in this contest. It would not be a shock to see an away or indeed a home victory, but a draw is a decent result for both sides, and we are predicting a stalemate in this Euro 2024 qualification fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 24.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
MontenegroDrawSerbia
24.11% (-0.032 -0.03) 26.74% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 49.15% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.99% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)57.92% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.37% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)78.63% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.25% (-0.052 -0.05)39.75% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.57% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.43% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.66% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)57.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montenegro 24.11%
    Serbia 49.14%
    Draw 26.73%
MontenegroDrawSerbia
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 1.23% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 24.11%
1-1 @ 12.5%
0-0 @ 9.41% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.73%
0-1 @ 13.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 9.77% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.01% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 4.69% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0039999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 49.14%

How you voted: Montenegro vs Serbia

Montenegro
19.8%
Draw
10.5%
Serbia
69.8%
162
Head to Head
Nov 17, 2018 2pm
League C4
Serbia
2-1
Montenegro
Ljajic (30'), Mitrovic (32')
Gacinovic (61'), Matic (88')
Mugosa (70')
Mugosa (5'), Simic (36'), Kopitovic (47'), Jankovic (76')
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League C4
Montenegro
0-2
Serbia

Stojkovic (18'), Vukcevic (63'), Jankovic (77')
Mitrovic (18' pen., 81')
Lukic (31'), Tadic (36')
rhs 2.0
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