MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 05:21:16| >> :120:8532:8532:
Sweden national football team
Friendlies 1
Jan 12, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Algarve
Iceland national football team

Sweden
2 - 1
Iceland

Andersson (85'), Ondrejka (90+4')
Lagerbielke (29')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Aron Gudjohnsen (30')
Magnusson (75'), Muminovic (81'), Orlygur Andrason (84'), Orlygur Andrason (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Sweden and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 2-0 Finland
Monday, January 9 at 6.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Iceland 1-1 Estonia
Sunday, January 8 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 1-1 Iceland

With both nations still on the footballing road to redemption after recent disappointments, we can envision a tightly-contested affair at the Estadio Algarve ending in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 55.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden would win this match.

Result
SwedenDrawIceland
55.48% (1.332 1.33) 26.14% (-0.292 -0.29) 18.37% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 40.62% (-0.77800000000001 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.85% (-0.173 -0.17)61.15% (0.169 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.89% (-0.131 -0.13)81.1% (0.12700000000001 0.13)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.74% (0.494 0.49)22.25% (-0.496 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.3% (0.738 0.74)55.69% (-0.742 -0.74)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.25% (-1.342 -1.34)47.74% (1.337 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.95% (-1.01 -1.01)83.04% (1.008 1.01)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 55.47%
    Iceland 18.37%
    Draw 26.13%
SwedenDrawIceland
1-0 @ 15.96% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.298 0.3)
3-1 @ 4.44% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.143 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.67% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 55.47%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-0 @ 10.62% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 7.85% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-2 @ 4.36% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.208 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.08% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 18.37%

How you voted: Sweden vs Iceland

Sweden
53.1%
Draw
36.7%
Iceland
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2019 4.45pm
International Friendlies
Sweden
2-2
Iceland
Gyokeres (47'), Thern (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!