Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadion Pod Goricom
Montenegro2 - 1Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lithuania 2-2 Montenegro
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Thursday, September 7 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Serbia | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 4 | -1 | 5 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 4 | -4 | 2 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 4 | -4 | 2 |
We said: Montenegro 1-0 Bulgaria
A lack of bite means that Bulgaria do not pose a major threat to Montenegro's qualification dreams - they have averaged only a goal every two games in their last six matches. As a result, the hosts should secure maximum points and keep pressure on the nations above them in Group G. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Montenegro had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.45%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Montenegro win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montenegro | Draw | Bulgaria |
28.82% ( 0.02) | 28.72% ( 0.02) | 42.46% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.05% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
