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Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Slovenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 26, 2023 at 5pm UK
Arena Petrol
San Marino national football team

Slovenia
2 - 0
San Marino

Sesko (56'), Di Maio (60' og.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Addario (45'), Fabbri (54'), Costantini (65'), Franciosi (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Slovenia and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 1-2 Slovenia
Thursday, March 23 at 3pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

San Marino

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: San Marino 0-2 N. Ireland
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Slovenia 5-0 San Marino

 Slovenia have won every one of their previous meetings with San Marino, and there is seemingly no real chance of that run coming to an end on Sunday, particularly given how well they played in the second half against Kazakhstan. Kekci have always won by at least a four-goal margin when they have faced La Serenissima at home in the past, and so we expect them to win by a similar scoreline this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 87.83%. A draw had a probability of 9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.29%) and 4-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.23%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawSan Marino
87.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 9.04% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07) 3.14% (0.1121 0.11)
Both teams to score 34.2% (1.56 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.11% (1.258 1.26)32.89% (-1.255 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.41% (1.435 1.44)54.59% (-1.432 -1.43)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.08% (0.21199999999999 0.21)4.92% (-0.2089 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.25% (0.627 0.63)19.75% (-0.625 -0.63)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
35.97% (1.565 1.57)64.03% (-1.563 -1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
7.42% (0.679 0.68)92.57% (-0.67700000000001 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 87.81%
    San Marino 3.14%
    Draw 9.04%
SloveniaDrawSan Marino
3-0 @ 14.34% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-0 @ 14.29% (-0.55 -0.55)
4-0 @ 10.79% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-0 @ 9.49% (-0.504 -0.5)
5-0 @ 6.5% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.4% (0.199 0.2)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.112 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.82% (0.215 0.22)
6-0 @ 3.26% (0.058 0.06)
5-1 @ 2.9% (0.168 0.17)
6-1 @ 1.46% (0.103 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.43% (0.119 0.12)
7-0 @ 1.4% (0.044 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.07% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 87.81%
1-1 @ 4.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.15% (-0.214 -0.21)
2-2 @ 1.42% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 9.04%
0-1 @ 1.41% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-2 @ 0.94% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 3.14%

How you voted: Slovenia vs San Marino

Slovenia
83.6%
Draw
6.0%
San Marino
10.4%
67
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2020 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Slovenia
4-0
San Marino
Mitrovic (17', 42'), Vuckic (25' pen.), Rep (48')
Oct 12, 2015 7.45pm
Group E
San Marino
0-2
Slovenia

Gasperoni (12'), Brolli (73')
Cesar (54'), Pecnik (74')
Ilicic (34'), Kurtic (48')
> Match Report
Mar 27, 2015 7.45pm
Group E
Slovenia
6-0
San Marino
Ilicic (10'), Kampl (49'), Struna (50'), Novakovic (52'), Lazarevic (73'), Ilic (88')

Simoncini (40'), Palazzi (56'), Selva (75')
> Match Report
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